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Journal of Conflict Resolution
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A Conflict Analysis of the Armenian-Azerbaijani Dispute

Niall M. Fraser

Keith W. Hipel

John Jaworsky

Ralph Zuljan

University of Waterloo

The Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict in the Soviet Union is modeled and analyzed using conflict analysis methodology. To allow a conflict analysis approach to be conveniently and expeditiously applied to the dispute, DecisionMaker: the Conflict Analysis Program is employed. After acquiring the background information pertinent to the conflict, DecisionMaker was used to develop two conflict models at different times, in terms of decision makers, options, and preferences. Based on the conflict model, DecisionMaker calculated the equilibrium resolutions to the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict. Several other analyses were then carried out on the basis of the equilibria generated. The overall results match well what has happened in the dispute.

Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 34, No. 4, 652-677 (1990)
DOI: 10.1177/0022002790034004004
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