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Journal of Conflict Resolution
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Polarization, Polynomials, and War

William B. Moul

University of Waterloo

Michael Wallace reports a very pronounced curvilinear relationship between a new measure of the polarization of the state system and warfare during 1815-1964. He suggests considerable caution when interpreting the results and urges replication. This is a replication. Given the original cautions, the additional ones made here, and the results of a reanalysis, the conclusion is clear. There is no relationship—linear, monotonic, or nonmonotonic—between polarization and the number, severity, or magnitude of international wars during the period 1815-1976.

Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 37, No. 4, 735-748 (1993)
DOI: 10.1177/0022002793037004008
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