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Journal of Conflict Resolution
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Moments of Opportunity

Recognizing Conditions of Ripeness for International Mediation between Enduring Rivals

J. Michael Greig

Department of Political Science, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Some points in time are more favorable for mediation success than others and result from the concatenation of contextual factors that encourage movement toward more cooperative behavior by disputants. Ripeness for mediation between enduring rivals is examined by focusing on mediation success in the short and extended term. Results suggest that the factors conducive to the achievement of short-term mediation success differ significantly from those that promote extended-term improvement in the rivalry relationship. These results help to reconcile some of the diversity of expectations in the ripeness literature by demonstrating that short-term and extended-term mediation success follow distinct dynamics.

Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 45, No. 6, 691-718 (2001)
DOI: 10.1177/0022002701045006001
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