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Power Parity, Preponderance, and War between Great Powers, 1816-1989Department of Political Science University of Waterloo, Ontario Empirical study has worn essential theoretical edges from the power transition theory and rival balance-of-power theories, leaving a misshapen question: does parity in quantitative power capabilities of opposing individual states discourage or encourage war between those two states? Distortions of both theory and evidencemixing balances of power with balances of terror; overlooking political geography, political incapacity, and alliance formations; and confining observations to state-dyadsrender the evidence poor and weak. When the distortions are removed, the very strong evidence is that approximate parity in power capabilities encouraged war between great power disputants between 1816 and 1989.
Key Words: power parity war peace great powers
Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 47, No. 4,
468-489 (2003) This article has been cited by other articles:
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