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Journal of Conflict Resolution
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What's this?

Bargaining and the Nature of War

Alastair Smith

Department of Politics, New York University

Allan C. Stam

Department of Government, Dartmouth College

A model of bargaining embedded within a random-walk model of warfare is developed. The conflict model contains aspects of both lottery-based and war-of-attrition models of conflict. Results show that future disputes are less likely to lead to armed conflict following long rather than short wars. Furthermore, should a subsequent dispute lead to armed conflict, the higher the cost and the longer the previous war, the shorter the conflict is likely to last.

Key Words: warfare • bargaining • military • random-walk model • conflict

Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 48, No. 6, 783-813 (2004)
DOI: 10.1177/0022002704268026
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